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William Mallios S. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets. Adaptive Drift Modeling


A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.

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Группа авторов A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility


Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

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Wallace Davidson, III Financial Forecasting and Decision Making

Группа авторов Understanding Finance


Explains the essential concepts of finance—budgeting, forecasting, and planning—to managers who are not financial managers. Understanding Finance contains relevant information on how to: understand what the three basic financial statements and ratio analysis tell about a company's financial health; develop and track a budget; and assess an investment opportunity.

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Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions


Practical-nontechnical-solutions to the problems of business forecasting Written in a nontechnical style, this book provides practical solutions to common business forecasting problems, showing you how to think about business forecasting in the context of uncertainty, randomness and process performance. Addresses the philosophical foundations of forecasting Raises awareness of fundamental issues usually overlooked in pursuit of the perfect forecast Introduces a new way to think about business forecasting, focusing on process efficiency and the elimination of worst practices Provides practical approaches for the non-statistical problems forecasters face Illustrates Forecast Value Added (FVA) Analysis for identifying waste in the forecasting process Couched in the context of uncertainty, randomness, and process performance, this book offers new, innovative ideas for resolving your business forecasting problems.

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Charles Tapiero S. Risk Finance and Asset Pricing. Value, Measurements, and Markets


A comprehensive guide to financial engineering that stresses real-world applications Financial engineering expert Charles S. Tapiero has his finger on the pulse of shifts coming to financial engineering and its applications. With an eye toward the future, he has crafted a comprehensive and accessible book for practitioners and students of Financial Engineering that emphasizes an intuitive approach to financial and quantitative foundations in financial and risk engineering. The book covers the theory from a practitioner perspective and applies it to a variety of real-world problems. Examines the cornerstone of the explosive growth in markets worldwide Presents important financial engineering techniques to price, hedge, and manage risks in general Author heads the largest financial engineering program in the world Author Charles Tapiero wrote the seminal work Risk and Financial Management.

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Antonios K. Alexandridis Wavelet Neural Networks


A step-by-step introduction to modeling, training, and forecasting using wavelet networks Wavelet Neural Networks: With Applications in Financial Engineering, Chaos, and Classification presents the statistical model identification framework that is needed to successfully apply wavelet networks as well as extensive comparisons of alternate methods. Providing a concise and rigorous treatment for constructing optimal wavelet networks, the book links mathematical aspects of wavelet network construction to statistical modeling and forecasting applications in areas such as finance, chaos, and classification. The authors ensure that readers obtain a complete understanding of model identification by providing in-depth coverage of both model selection and variable significance testing. Featuring an accessible approach with introductory coverage of the basic principles of wavelet analysis, Wavelet Neural Networks: With Applications in Financial Engineering, Chaos, and Classification also includes: • Methods that can be easily implemented or adapted by researchers, academics, and professionals in identification and modeling for complex nonlinear systems and artificial intelligence • Multiple examples and thoroughly explained procedures with numerous applications ranging from financial modeling and financial engineering, time series prediction and construction of confidence and prediction intervals, and classification and chaotic time series prediction • An extensive introduction to neural networks that begins with regression models and builds to more complex frameworks • Coverage of both the variable selection algorithm and the model selection algorithm for wavelet networks in addition to methods for constructing confidence and prediction intervals Ideal as a textbook for MBA and graduate-level courses in applied neural network modeling, artificial intelligence, advanced data analysis, time series, and forecasting in financial engineering, the book is also useful as a supplement for courses in informatics, identification and modeling for complex nonlinear systems, and computational finance. In addition, the book serves as a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the fields of mathematical modeling, engineering, artificial intelligence, decision science, neural networks, and finance and economics.

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Michael Clements P. A Companion to Economic Forecasting


A Companion to Economic Forecasting provides an accessible and comprehensive account of recent developments in economic forecasting. Each of the chapters has been specially written by an expert in the field, bringing together in a single volume a range of contrasting approaches and views. Uniquely surveying forecasting in a single volume, the Companion provides a comprehensive account of the leading approaches and modeling strategies that are routinely employed.

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Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications


The first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting – one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method – Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R – open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development.

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Xuechun Zhang Rural Finance in Poverty-Stricken Areas in the People's Republic of China


Local financial institutions represent the best choices in the financial system for small and medium-sized enterprises and farming households. Government agencies in the People's Republic of China (PRC) have proposed policies that would relax market entry criteria and allow the creation of diversified rural financial institutions. These measures will help improve PRC's financial market structure, promote better rural financial services, enable financing of labor-intensive economic activities, and promote socioeconomic development. This publication offers an overview of rural finance in the PRC, examines current financial policy and models, and offers recommendations for future reform measures.

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William S. Mallios - amazon.de

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William S. Mallios, PhD, is a consultant at Mallios and Associates, where he provides professional advisement to various financial, medical, and educational institutions. A Fulbright Senior Specialist, Dr. Mallios served as professor of decision s...

William S. Mallios: The Analysis of Sports Forecasting ...

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William S. Mallios: The Analysis of Sports Forecasting ...

William S. Mallios: The Analysis of Sports Forecasting - Modeling Parallels between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets. Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2000. Paperback. Sprache: Englisch. (Buch (kartoniert)) - portofrei bei eBook.de

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William Steve Mallios From 1976 to 1996, legalized betting in the U.S. increased from $17.3 billion to $586.5 billion. Apart from legal betting, O’Brien1 estimates that illegal sports betting could...

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by William S. Mallios ( 1 ) $78.11. A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events . Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both ...

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Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets ...

William S. Mallios, PhD, is a consultant at Mallios and Associates, where he provides professional advisement to various financial, medical, and educational institutions. A Fulbright Senior Specialist, Dr. Mallios served as professor of decision sciences at California State University, Fresno, for more than twenty-five years and has provided consulting services for government organizations ...

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William Steve Mallios San Diego - William "Bill" Mallios, 83, passed peacefully on June 29, 2019 in San Diego, CA. Born on August 21, 1935 in West Lafayette, Bill loved exercise, the theater,...

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William Mallios - Obituary - Legacy.com

Mallios was a statistician, Senior Fulbright Specialist, and professor. He delighted in numbers, data, and prediction, writing multiple books on practical applications of statistics during his...

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William S. Mallios, PhD, is a consultant at Mallios and Associates, where he provides professional advisement to various financial, medical, and educational institutions. A Fulbright Senior Specialist, Dr. Mallios served as professor of decision sciences at California State University, Fresno, for more than twenty-five years and has provided consulting services for government organizations ...

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Looking for books by William S. Mallios? See all books authored by William S. Mallios, including The Analysis of Sports Forecasting - Modeling Parallels Between Sports Gambling and Financial, and Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets: Adaptive Drift Modeling, and more on ThriftBooks.com.

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William Mallios - 3 Public Records Found

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Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk.

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Das Williams F1 Team (Williams Racing) ist ein britisches Rennsportteam mit Sitz im englischen Grove, das seit 1977 in der Formel 1 aktiv ist. Gründer und bis 2020 auch Mehrheitseigentümer war Frank Williams, der bereits von 1968 bis 1975 mit dem Team Frank Williams Racing Cars in der Formel 1 angetreten war. Williams F1 gehört mit 114 Grand-Prix-Siegen, sieben Fahrer- und neun ...

William S. Mallios (Author of Forecasting in Financial and ...

William S. Mallios is the author of Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets (4.20 avg rating, 5 ratings, 0 reviews, published 2010), The Ana...

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The Analysis of Sports Forecasting - Modeling Parallels ...

Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non-random walk through financial and

William Mallios (Author of Sports Metric Forecasting)

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William S. Mallios - consulte a biografia e bibliografia do autor de Forecasting In Financial And Sports Gambling Markets e The Analysis Of Sports Forecasting

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Alexandros Mallios's 20 research works with 95 citations and 388 reads, including: Complex Open Surgical Revascularisation for Successful Resolution of Bilateral Lower Limb Ischaemia

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SETH WILLIAM MALLIOS - anthropology.sdsu.edu

investigations of Nate Harrison's homestead” b. Chair: Seth Mallios (Anthropology) c. Second: Joseph Ball (Anthropology) d. Outside member: John Putman (Histor y) 10 John D. Simmons (Anthropology); Defense date: 5/13/2005 a. Title: “An analysis of function at several late prehistoric sites in Lost Valley, California” b. Chair: Phil Greenfeld (Anthropology) c. Second: Seth Mallios ...

Forecasting in financial and sports gambling markets ...

"This book discusses cointegrated time series associated with financial and sports gambling markets are analyzed in terms of time-varying parameter models. Modeling premises are that present and past disequilibria--shocks both within and between time series--may affect subsequent changes and rates o...

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William S. Mallios Analysis of Sports Forecasting Modeling Parallels between Sports Gambling and Financial Markets. Support. Adobe DRM. Given the magnitude of currency speculation and sports gambling, it is surprising that the literature contains mostly negative forecasting results. Majority opinion still holds that short term fluctuations in financial markets follow random walk. In this non ...

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Группа авторов Advances in DEA Theory and Applications


A key resource and framework for assessing the performance of competing entities, including forecasting models Advances in DEA Theory and Applications provides a much-needed framework for assessing the performance of competing entities with special emphasis on forecasting models. It helps readers to determine the most appropriate methodology in order to make the most accurate decisions for implementation. Written by a noted expert in the field, this text provides a review of the latest advances in DEA theory and applications to the field of forecasting. Designed for use by anyone involved in research in the field of forecasting or in another application area where forecasting drives decision making, this text can be applied to a wide range of contexts, including education, health care, banking, armed forces, auditing, market research, retail outlets, organizational effectiveness, transportation, public housing, and manufacturing. This vital resource: Explores the latest developments in DEA frameworks for the performance evaluation of entities such as public or private organizational branches or departments, economic sectors, technologies, and stocks Presents a novel area of application for DEA; namely, the performance evaluation of forecasting models Promotes the use of DEA to assess the performance of forecasting models in a wide area of applications Provides rich, detailed examples and case studies Advances in DEA Theory and Applications includes information on a balanced benchmarking tool that is designed to help organizations examine their assumptions about their productivity and performance.

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Группа авторов Financial Risk Forecasting


Financial Risk Forecasting is a complete introduction to practical quantitative risk management, with a focus on market risk. Derived from the authors teaching notes and years spent training practitioners in risk management techniques, it brings together the three key disciplines of finance, statistics and modeling (programming), to provide a thorough grounding in risk management techniques. Written by renowned risk expert Jon Danielsson, the book begins with an introduction to financial markets and market prices, volatility clusters, fat tails and nonlinear dependence. It then goes on to present volatility forecasting with both univatiate and multivatiate methods, discussing the various methods used by industry, with a special focus on the GARCH family of models. The evaluation of the quality of forecasts is discussed in detail. Next, the main concepts in risk and models to forecast risk are discussed, especially volatility, value-at-risk and expected shortfall. The focus is both on risk in basic assets such as stocks and foreign exchange, but also calculations of risk in bonds and options, with analytical methods such as delta-normal VaR and duration-normal VaR and Monte Carlo simulation. The book then moves on to the evaluation of risk models with methods like backtesting, followed by a discussion on stress testing. The book concludes by focussing on the forecasting of risk in very large and uncommon events with extreme value theory and considering the underlying assumptions behind almost every risk model in practical use – that risk is exogenous – and what happens when those assumptions are violated. Every method presented brings together theoretical discussion and derivation of key equations and a discussion of issues in practical implementation. Each method is implemented in both MATLAB and R, two of the most commonly used mathematical programming languages for risk forecasting with which the reader can implement the models illustrated in the book. The book includes four appendices. The first introduces basic concepts in statistics and financial time series referred to throughout the book. The second and third introduce R and MATLAB, providing a discussion of the basic implementation of the software packages. And the final looks at the concept of maximum likelihood, especially issues in implementation and testing. The book is accompanied by a website – www.financialriskforecasting.com – which features downloadable code as used in the book.

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William Stewart Family Law Services Handbook. The Role of the Financial Expert


Up to fifty percent of financial forensic services are performed in divorces, or in family law business valuations. Providing the first definitive publication on family law for accountants, this book addresses topics unique to family law accounting, tax, valuation and practice. The coverage begins with pre-engagement of the client and proceeds through to trial and preparation and presentation. Sample checklists, work papers, and trial exhibits are included. CPAs and attorneys will benefit from this handbook’s tips on providing financial services in the family law arena.

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Speedy Publishing Finance Terminology (Speedy Study Guide)


To increase your knowledge of financial lingo, whether in your business or personal life, a finance terminology study guide can help break down the financial jargon into layman's terms making it easier to understand. The guide provides different financial terms such as portfolio, capital gains, annuity and explains how they apply to your money in more simplistic terminology. This understanding gives you an advantage when making decisions that can impact your financial future. You don't need a degree in finance to get a deeper understanding of the financial world, however, like traveling to a new country, it's best you understand the language in order to navigate more independently in your surroundings.

218.63 RUR

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Edmund S. Phelps Financial Darwinism. Create Value or Self-Destruct in a World of Risk


In Financial Darwinism, author Leo Tilman lays the groundwork for understanding the new financial order by introducing his evolutionary thesis and then outlines an actionable decision-making framework that enables financial institutions and investors to fully leverage the power of business strategy, corporate finance, investment analysis, and risk management. Financial Darwinism is an invaluable road map to today's financial world and an essential guide to surviving and thriving during these challenging times.

2621 RUR

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Ruth Ann McEwen Transparency in Financial Reporting


By January 2012 all major economies, apart from the US, will provide financial reports using International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This book sets out the key differences between IFRS and US GAAP from a practitioner's perspective, although financial analysts will also benefit from the material presented.
The financial crisis has been attributed to, among other things, a perceived lack of transparency in the financial markets. In general, transparency implies an ability to see the reported results of an entity's financial activities clearly and to use these results in making investment decisions. At question is the belief that transparency in financial reporting will lead to transparency in financial markets. Unfortunately, this link may be more subjective than most of us wish.
Ruth Ann McEwen presents an analysis of reporting issues affecting transparency under IFRS, compared with US GAAP, and suggests areas of concern for preparers and users of financial reports. Providing an invaluable guide for all accountancy professionals, the book also contains a technical analysis of major accounting issues raised by convergence, and indicates areas of interest during initial adoption of IFRS by US entities. This authoritative book provides all the essential information required for advanced practitioners and analysts at this critical juncture.

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Daniel Halpin W. Financial Management and Accounting Fundamentals for Construction


SUCCESSFUL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT IN THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY BEGINS WITH THIS HANDS-ON GUIDE While construction professionals are skilled in the technical side of their work, they often find the financial management aspect of the business daunting. Financial Management and Accounting Fundamentals for Construction will help you better understand and navigate the financial decisions that are part of every construction project. This book is a compact summary of the basic financial skills that a construction professional must have to be successful in the management of a construction company and its projects. Its topics address many of the questions that any construction administrator will face, such as: How to organize and use a company's financial reports What amount of cash must be made available to the contractor to complete a project Why the early payment of supplier invoices can enhance profitability How to quantify the time value of money in financial decisions What tax amount is owed by a company and how it impacts the bottom line How to control project costs What financial sources are available to a construction contractor for capital expansion In this text, you will learn about accounting fundamentals, project-related financial matters, and company level financial issues—three factors that are key to your career success. An ideal reference for students of construction management and engineering, as well as professionals who need a quick refresher when dealing with cost control analysis and other financial issues, this text also offers: Easy-to-understand coverage of financial concepts specific to the construction industry, including business taxation, project control, engineering economy, and financial forecasting Numerous worked examples, plus end-of-chapter review questions and exercises Helpful appendices that present the structure of a typical chart of accounts, the flow of transactions through a construction accounting system, and tables required for computing interest and the time value of money

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Hans Dieter Seibel Restructuring of State-Owned Financial Institutions


Despite the trend toward financial sector liberalization in recent years, state ownership of financial institutions remains widespread in the developing world. However, in general, state-owned financial institutions have under performed their private sector counterparts, and governments have sought to restructure them. This case study reviews the transformation of Bank Rakyat Indonesia from a loss-producing, overstaffed state-owned bank to the most profitable bank with the largest microbanking network in Indonesia. From the bank's experience the study seeks to draw decisive lessons for the successful transformation of other state-owned financial institutions. For Bank Rakyat Indonesia, the key driver of successful reform was the government's commitment to allow it the autonomy to restructure itself-including an emphasis on good corporate governance, supported by appropriate regulations and effective supervision.

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Baiyu Andrew Song Training Laborers for His Harvest


In this project, Baiyu Andrew Song explores the mentorship of China's first ordained indigenous evangelist, Liang Fa (1789-1855), by Scottish Presbyterian missionary William Milne (1785-1822) in the early nineteenth century. The biblically and contextually informed model of mentorship Milne employed is examined in detail, which is placed in the historical setting of Milne and Liang's time. This project is particularly important in that it pioneers historical study in the area of the early protestant church history in China, specifically in regard to William Milne.

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William L. Lang Confederacy of Ambition


The promise of opportunity drew twenty-seven-year-old Illinois schoolteacher William Winlock Miller west to the future Washington Territory in 1850. Like so many other Oregon Trail emigrants Miller arrived cash-poor and ambitious, but unlike most he fulfilled his grandest ambitions. By the time of his death in 1876, Miller had amassed one of the largest private fortunes in the territory and had used it creatively in developing the region�s assets, leaving a significant mark on the territory�s political and economic history.Appointed Surveyor of Customs at the newly created Port of Nisqually in 1851, Miller was the first federal official north of the Columbia River. Two years later he helped organize the new territory�s Democratic Party and quickly became a political and financial confidant of governor Isaac Stevens. His involvement in the Indian conflict in 1855�56, a term in the territorial legislature, and his bankrolling of key politicians made him the territory�s most effective political networker. His role as a �hip-pocket banker� in a region without established banks made him a powerful financial broker and a major player in territorial affairs.But in his pursuit of success Miller compromised another ambition he carried west from Illinois. He postponed marriage and family until only a few years before his death and agonized about relationships with his family in Illinois. His experience reminds us that the pioneer settlement era was a period of social dislocation and that public economic and political success could mask personal disappointment.Lang�s biography takes readers into the heart of Washington territorial politics, where alliances often hinged more on mutual economic interest than political principles and nearly all agreed that government should encourage ambitious and energetic men. In this world, Lang argues, Miller succeeded because he parlayed his talents in camaraderie politics and sharp-pencil business affairs with an unabashed mining of governmental opportunities. William Lang�s account of William Winlock Miller and the first quarter century of Washington�s history offers a new view of the pioneer era, emphasizing that the West was developed in large measure by men like Miller who manipulated government and its resources to their own and the region�s advantage.

1823.18 RUR

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